Energy Balance Shifts in the Eastern Mediterranean: Turkey Makes a Move

The sismic research initiated by Turkey in the Eastern Mediterranean as part of the Northern Cyprus natural gas pipeline project has brought regional balances back to the agenda. Retired Admiral Ali Deniz Kutluk stated that the project could both strengthen the energy security of Northern Cyprus and open the door to a new energy corridor.The Oruç Reis Seismic Research Vessel will conduct survey studies on the planned pipeline route until August 30. The main objective of the project is to strengthen the energy supply security of Northern Cyprus and provide natural gas at a lower cost.Ali Deniz Kutluk stated that the primary goal of the planned pipeline is to guarantee the energy needs of Northern Cyprus, and the project has the potential to benefit all segments of the island technically:

This project will bring two natural gas pipelines to the northern part of the island of Cyprus and meet the gas needs. For both Turks and Greeks, if they want. But it is more reasonable to expect that it will not be wanted in the name of Church and political "correctness".

Evaluating the potential effects of the project on Turkey-Greece and Turkey-Southern Cyprus relations, Kutluk said that Athens will not be a direct determining actor in the process:

Greece will remain outside of this issue. If Southern Cyprus gives up its extreme attitudes, it can create a joint energy security with Northern Cyprus through cooperation. However, considering the aggressive and ultra-nationalist approach of the Greek side, the possibility of this happening is quite low.

Regarding the future of the Eastern Mediterranean energy map, Kutluk stated that political and military risks in the region are the biggest obstacle to energy projects.

Due to current uncertainties, it is necessary to establish peace and stability in the region before energy. While there is also a possibility that Iran-centered conflicts could spread to the Eastern Mediterranean and the Suez route, it is still too early to make 5-10 year energy projections.