Istanbul Earthquake Claim: Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş's Surprising Statements

Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş made a striking evaluation of the Kumburgaz segment in the Marmara Sea. Referring to international scientific studies, Bektaş argued that the expected earthquake in Istanbul will not exceed a magnitude of 7.As a geology professor, Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş shared his thoughts on the expected Istanbul earthquake in the Marmara Sea through a social media post. He mentioned that the 'creep' studies conducted by German and Japanese scientists between 2019 and 2023 yielded significant results.Bektaş stated that the Kumburgaz segment is not a completely locked fault line, as previously suggested, and therefore does not have the potential to produce a large-scale earthquake.He supported his claim by citing the significant decrease in the depth of fault creep and earthquake foci as one moves from Tekirdağ to Kumburgaz. Consequently, Bektaş's assessment generated substantial attention on social media.